Is Antonio Conte's UCL record genuinely bad, or just the "Elite Tax" of facing tougher opponents?
I analyzed Conte, Guardiola, and Klopp using frequentist and Bayesian tests. Only one manager's performance drop is statistically abnormal.
Full analysis:
https://www.shibaprasadb.com/2026/01/20/tale-of-two-contes.html